Etymologia: Bayesian Probability

Etymologia: Bayesian Probability

28 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 23, No. 1, January 2017 17. Marks M, Vahi V, Sokana O, Puiahi E, Pavluck A, Zhang Z, et al. Mapping the epidemiology of yaws in the Solomon Islands: a cluster randomized survey. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2015;92:129–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.14-0438 18. Worrell C, Mathieu E. Drug coverage surveys for neglected tropical diseases: 10 yea...

Determination of Maximum Bayesian Entropy Probability Distribution

In this paper, we consider the determination methods of maximum entropy multivariate distributions with given prior under the constraints, that the marginal distributions or the marginals and covariance matrix are prescribed. Next, some numerical solutions are considered for the cases of unavailable closed form of solutions. Finally, these methods are illustrated via some numerical examples.

Etymologia

Bayesian probability

Bayesian decision theory is here construed as explicating a particular concept of rational choice and Bayesian probability is taken to be the concept of probability used in that theory. Bayesian probability is usually identified with the agent’s degrees of belief but that interpretation makes Bayesian decision theory a poor explication of the relevant concept of rational choice. A satisfactory ...

Bayesian probability

This document introduces the foundations of Bayesian probability theory. The emphasis is on understanding why Bayesian probability theory works, and on realizing that the theory relies, on the one hand, on a very limited number of fundamental properties for information processing, and, on the other hand, on a number of application-dependent and arbitrary choices for decision making. 1 What is B...